AlphaStocks
5.3
Consider Buy

GEO Group Inc (GEO)

As of Sep 20, 2026, GEO Group Inc (GEO) scores 5.3/10 on AlphaStocks' five-model composite, #89 of 265 Industrials stocks. At $32, GEO trades 15% below its model fair value of $37.

Industrials / Environmental & Facilities Services

S&P SmallCap 600

$31.75

Below average on several measures. Research carefully.

Consider Buy

Score based on 4 of 5 models — moderate confidence

Data as of Sep 20, 2026

#89out of 265 in Industrials

Is GEO GROUP INC a Good Investment in 2026?

GEO GROUP INC (GEO) scores 5.3 out of 10 on AlphaStocks' composite model, earning a Consider Buy rating. The Piotroski model rates GEO GROUP INC as Attractive (6/9). However, the Lynch model rates it Caution. GEO GROUP INC currently trades 15% below its estimated fair value of $37. GEO GROUP INC ranks #89 out of 265 stocks in the Industrials sector.

This summary is algorithmically generated and is not financial advice.

Key Metrics

P/E17.4ROE16.8Market Cap4B

Estimated Fair Value

$37.2015% below

Trading below estimated fair value. EPS grew 664% year-over-year. P/E of 17x is moderate for this quality level.

Model-based estimate, not a price target.

5-Model Analysis

Each model evaluates this stock from a different angle. Combined, they form the composite score above.

Piotroski

Attractive

6/9

Buffett

Caution

Business quality & competitive moat

Graham

Neutral

45% above fair value

Lynch

Caution

Growth rate vs price (PEG)

Greenblatt

Neutral

Earnings yield 4.4% · ROC 11%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is GEO GROUP INC (GEO) a good investment?
As of Sep 20, 2026, GEO Group Inc (GEO) scores 5.3/10 on AlphaStocks' five-model composite, #89 of 265 Industrials stocks. At $32, GEO trades 15% below its model fair value of $37. That score is below average, suggesting caution.
What is GEO GROUP INC's Piotroski F-Score?
GEO GROUP INC's Piotroski F-Score status is Attractive. The raw score is 6/9. The Piotroski F-Score evaluates financial health using 9 fundamental signals including profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency.
Is GEO overvalued or undervalued?
Based on AlphaStocks' model-based fair value estimate of $37, GEO appears undervalued. The stock currently trades 15% below its estimated fair value. Trading below estimated fair value. EPS grew 664% year-over-year. P/E of 17x is moderate for this quality level.
How does GEO compare to other Industrials stocks?
GEO GROUP INC ranks #89 out of 265 stocks in the Industrials sector, placing it in the top 34% of its sector by composite score. This is an above-average position relative to sector peers.
What do investment models say about GEO?
AlphaStocks evaluates GEO using five proven investment models. Piotroski: Attractive; Buffett: Caution; Graham: Neutral; Lynch: Caution; Greenblatt Magic Formula: Neutral. These models are combined into a single composite score of 5.3/10.

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Scores are algorithm-generated research tools, not investment recommendations. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own due diligence. Full disclaimer